Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets

Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets
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Book Synopsis Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets by : Chu-Sheng Tai

Download or read book Time-Varying Risk Premia in Foreign Exchange and Equity Markets written by Chu-Sheng Tai and published by . This book was released on 2000 with total page pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: One of the puzzles in international finance literature is the deviations from Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP). In this paper, I further examine the validity of the risk premia hypothesis in explaining this puzzle by testing a conditional international CAPM (ICAPM) in the absence of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) using data from both foreign exchange and equity markets in Asia-Pacific countries. When considering foreign exchange markets only, I find that conditional variances are not related to the deviations from UIP in any statistical sense based on an univariate GARCH(1,1)-M model. However, as I consider both foreign exchange and equity markets together and test the conditional ICAPM in the absence of PPP, I can not reject the model based on the J-test by Hansen (Econometrica 50 (1982), 1029-1054), and find significant time-varying market and foreign exchange risk premia presented in the data. This empirical evidence supports the notion of time-varying risk premia in explaining the deviations from UIP. It also supports the idea that the foreign exchange risk is not diversifiable and hence should be priced in both markets.Key Words: International asset pricing, Uncovered interest parity, Time-varying risk premium, GARCH, GMM.


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