Volatility Analysis with Unified Discrete and Continuous Time Models by Combining Low-frequency, High-frequency and Option Data

Volatility Analysis with Unified Discrete and Continuous Time Models by Combining Low-frequency, High-frequency and Option Data
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Book Synopsis Volatility Analysis with Unified Discrete and Continuous Time Models by Combining Low-frequency, High-frequency and Option Data by : Xinyu Song

Download or read book Volatility Analysis with Unified Discrete and Continuous Time Models by Combining Low-frequency, High-frequency and Option Data written by Xinyu Song and published by . This book was released on 2017 with total page 0 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: In this dissertation, we present the topic on volatility analysis with combined discrete-time and continuous-time models by employing low-frequency, high-frequency and option data. We first investigate the traditional low-frequency approach for volatility analysis that frequently adopts generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedastic (GARCH) type models and modern high-frequency approach for volatility estimation that often employs realized volatility type estimators, examples include multi-scale realized volatility estimators, pre-averaging realized volatility estimators and kernel realized volatility estimators. We introduce a new model for volatility analysis by combining low-frequency and high-frequency approaches. The proposed model is an Ito diffusion process where the instantaneous volatility depends on integrated volatility and squared log return. When the model is restricted to integer times, conditional volatility of the process adopts an analogous structure with the one seen in a standard GARCH model and includes one additional innovation: the integrated volatility. The proposed model is named as generalized unified GARCH-Ito model. Parameter estimation is built on the marriage of a quasi-likelihood function obtained based on conditional volatility structure from the proposed model and common realized volatility estimators obtained based on high-frequency financial data. To improve the performance of proposed estimators, we also provide the option of incorporating option data by adopting a joint quasi-likelihood function. We study the asymptotic behaviors of proposed estimators and conduct a simulation study that confirms proposed estimators have good finite sample statistical performance. An empirical study has been carried out to demonstrate the ease of implementation of the proposed model in daily volatility estimation.


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