Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?

Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices?
Author :
Publisher : International Monetary Fund
Total Pages : 25
Release :
ISBN-10 : 9781455205264
ISBN-13 : 1455205265
Rating : 4/5 (64 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices? by : Mr.Reginald Darius

Download or read book Can Global Liquidity Forecast Asset Prices? written by Mr.Reginald Darius and published by International Monetary Fund. This book was released on 2010-08-01 with total page 25 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: During the period leading up to the global financial crisis many asset classes registered rapid price increases. This coincided with a significant rise in global liquidity. This paper attempts to determine the extent to which the rise in asset prices was influenced by developments in global liquidity. We confirm that global liquidity had a significant impact on the buildup in house prices; however, the impact on equity prices was limited. In contrast to common perception, we find that the impact of global liquidity declined during the period of the Great Moderation. The paper also examines spillovers from global liquidity to domestic variables and concludes that domestic factors generally played a more significant role in house price appreciation relative to global factors. This contradicts the hypothesis of weakened potency of domestic monetary policy in the presence of increased international liquidity.


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