Stock Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility

Stock Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility
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Publisher :
Total Pages : 21
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ISBN-10 : OCLC:1290326158
ISBN-13 :
Rating : 4/5 (58 Downloads)

Book Synopsis Stock Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility by : George Karathanassis

Download or read book Stock Index Futures Trading and Spot Market Volatility written by George Karathanassis and published by . This book was released on 2006 with total page 21 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: This paper investigates possible spill-over effects on the Spot Market due to the initiation of Futures contracts. According to many analysts there still exists a puzzle regarding the stabilization or destabilization effects of futures contracts. Although the speculative forces (uninformed investors) tend to destabilize the market, rational hedging strategies and the transition of risk allow for stabilization shift. In order to investigate this issue, many researchers during the last decade, have utilized the GARCH framework enriched to capture many stylized financial features, such as the asymmetric response to news and leptokurtosis. However, in this paper the GARCH framework is extended to allow for skewness in the return's distribution and to examine the timing of possible structural changes, while the conditional mean of the process is adjusted to account for time-varying risk premia and for the day of the week effects decomposition. Furthermore, the distinguishing feature of this paper is the SWARCH econometric model, which enables a dynamic regime shifting through a Markov Chain transition matrix. According to the empirical findings on the FTSE-20/ASE futures contract, there exists a significant stabilization effect on the long run, while in the short run this seems to be non-robust.


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