The Ross Recovery Theorem with a Regularised Multivariate Markov Chain
Author | : Vaughan van Appel |
Publisher | : |
Total Pages | : 23 |
Release | : 2018 |
ISBN-10 | : OCLC:1304335884 |
ISBN-13 | : |
Rating | : 4/5 (84 Downloads) |
Download or read book The Ross Recovery Theorem with a Regularised Multivariate Markov Chain written by Vaughan van Appel and published by . This book was released on 2018 with total page 23 pages. Available in PDF, EPUB and Kindle. Book excerpt: Recently, Ross (2015) derived a theorem, namely the "Recovery Theorem", that allows for the recovery of the pricing kernel and real-world asset distribution, under particular assumptions, from a forward-looking risk neutral distribution. However, recovering the real-world distribution involves solving two ill-posed problems. In this paper, we introduce and test the accuracy of a regularised multivariate mixture distribution to recover the real-world distribution. In addition, we show that this method improves the estimation accuracy of the real-world distribution. Furthermore, we carry out an empirical study, using weekly South African Top40 option trade data, to show that the recovered distribution is in line with economic theory.